국가중장기 인력수급전망 개선 연구

Abstract

The main focus of economic activities has gone from being physical resources such as equipment and raw materials to human resources that possess the necessary technologies and knowledge. Core human resources which boast creative ideas and highly-advanced technological competencies have become an essential factor in securing competitiveness at the enterprise and even national levels. In addition, the securing of basic labor and human resources that boast basic operating skills has become a very important elements in maintaining economic development and in the carrying out of regular economic activities. The variable known as salary has traditionally been the main factor at play in terms of ensuring the flexible resolution of the gap between the supply and demand for manpower in individual industrial fields in Korea. However, the recent decrease in the flexibility of the labor market occasioned by the salary variable has resulted in increased difficulties maintaining a balance between the demand and supply for manpower. In this regard the importance of providing job seekers with exact information about general job tasks, or of detailed job descriptions at the individual enterprise level, has increased. To this end, the need to introduce an incentive system through which the required manpower could be educated has increased. In addition, as the forecasting of manpower requirements represents the basic materials with which manpower policies are established, and can serve as a roadmap in establishing the direction for manpower-related policies, studies on the forecasting of manpower requirements can be regarded as representing a very important element when it comes to the government’s establishment of policies. Given this reality, this study set out to forecast total manpower requirements in a highly reliable and useful fashion. In order to bridge the gap between the supply and demand for manpower, the results of the forecast conducted herein, which reflect industrial demand, were used to estimate manpower demand by academic background and major, and manpower supply by academic major. ...