고등교육 인재정책 수립을 위한 인력수급 전망체제 구축 연구(Ⅰ)
- Alternative Title
- A Study on Manpower Supply and Demand Prospect System for the Establishment of Higher Education HR Policy (I)
- Author(s)
- 이상돈; 이의규; 이남철; 이상준; 홍광표; 김창환
- Publication Year
- 2011-12-31
- Created
- 2012-02-15
- Keyword
- 고등교육 인재정책; 인력수급전망
- URI
- https://www.krivet.re.kr/repository/handle/202405/135
- Abstract
- 본 연구는 이러한 필요성과 문제의식을 절감하고, 2011년부터 2013년에 걸친 3개년도의 연구로서, 고등교육 인재정책 방안을 수립하기 위한 중장기 인력수급 전망체제를 구축하고, 이를 토대로 저출산·고령화 사회에 대비하여 국민경제의 잠재성장력을 극대화하여 지속적인 성장을 견인해 나갈 수 있는 방안을 모색하는 데 목적이 있다.
It’s necessary to construct a manpower demand and supply forecasts system so that policies on higher education talent to lead sustained growth may formulate. The construction is needed from the great contribution aspect to the mid and long-term national development by establishing policies on higher education talent based on the more reliable forecasts of manpower demand and maximizing potential growth power of the national economy.
The manpower training needs to be pushed forward with its policies, reflecting the further manpower demand and supply forecasts based on the real current state of manpower under med and long-term plans. The classification system on training and utilizing human resources should be constructed by sectoral characteristics.
This study aims to seek policies that can lead maximizing potential growth power of the national economy and its sustained growth for the low fertility and aging society by constructing the med and long-term manpower demand and supply forecasts system to make policies on higher education talent.
As for the annual purpose of this study the analysis progress of the current state and problems with higher education talent policies was conducted over the 1st year. Its purpose was to construct the long-term manpower demand and supply forecasts system for establishment of higher education talent policies that reflected the change of environments both inside and outside plus variability of the industry structure and labor market, based on developing a macroeconomic econometrics model that characteristics and structure of Korean education market were reflected.
Over the 2nd year it will be conducted to reform and build up the manpower demand and supply forecasts-related statistics infrastructures to improve reliability of the mis and long-term manpower demand and supply forecasts model plus building up the new statistics infrastructure to enlarge its generality of results utilization of the forecasts model over the 1st year. Its purpose was to conduct the manpower demand and supply forecasts by majors with the subject of the higher education sector.
The purpose over the 3rd and last year of the study is to set up a linkage system for the sectional mid and long-term manpower demand and supply forecasts and improvement of compatibility between sections by sectional forecasting a couple of selected core sections which will lead growth in the higher education sector and building the sectional forecasts linkage system between the comprehensive higher education and core sections.
...
- Table Of Contents
- 요 약
제1장 서 론 1
제1절 필요성과 목적 3
제2절 연구 내용 7
제2장 고등교육 인재정책 현황과 미래 11
제1절 우리나라 고등교육의 현황과 문제점 13
제2절 미래 우리나라 사회의 변화와 고등교육 28
제3절 고등교육 분야 인력수급 전망에 주는 시사점 41
제3장 교육시장을 반영한 거시계량 전망모형 개발 43
제1절 국내외 거시계량 전망모형 비교검토 및 시사점 45
제2절 거시계량모형의 개발 81
제3절 KRIVET 모형에 의한 예측 112
제4절 축소 조정된 KRIVET 모형(AD-AS 모형)에 의한 예측 118
제5절 결합방식을 이용한 예측 126
제4장 고등교육 인재정책 수립용 인력수급 전망모형 개발 133
제1절 국내외 인력수급 전망연구 동향 135
제2절 인재정책 수립용 인력수급 전망모형 개발 145
제3절 중장기 인력전망결과 154
제5장 정책적 시사점 175
제1절 전망결과의 시사점 177
제2절 고등교육 인재정책 과제 182
SUMMARY 191
참고문헌 203
부 록 213
- Publisher
- 한국직업능력개발원
- Citation
- 이상돈. (2011-12-31). 고등교육 인재정책 수립을 위한 인력수급 전망체제 구축 연구(Ⅰ).
- Type
- Research Report
-
Appears in Collections:
- 연구보고서 > I. 기본보고서 (1997~현재)
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