내생경제성장모형에서 교육의 역할 추정

Abstract

본 연구의 목적은 우리 나라와 동아시아 경제성장의 원천으로서 교육의 역할을 하는 데 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 Solow모델을 확장하여 실물자본과 노동외에 교육, R&D 자본, 1965년GNP 등을 포함한 성장모형을 세워서 추정하려 하며 우리 나라의 경우는 성장 요소 상호간의 간접역할까지 감안한 각 요소의 실제의 역할을 구함으로써 새로운 기여를 찾아내려고 한다.

I. 서론 1. 연구의 배경과 목적 2. 이론 고찰과 실증연구 3. 논문의 구성 II. 내생성장 모형의 기본구조 1. 자료출처 및 분석 2. 변수설계 3. 생산함수 형태 4. 통계처리 III. 실증분석 결과 및 확장 1. 추정계수의 의미 2. 동아시아의 성장과정에서 각 요소의 직접 역할 3. 한국의 성장과정에서 각 요소의 간접역할 및 실제역할 4. 요소축적과 성장율 IV. 요약 및 정책적 시사 1. 요약 2. 정책적 시사

Endogenous growth in East Asia is seen in this thesis to be results of an interaction between the expansion of education with the diffusion of capacities to adapt and use more productive technologies. These human resource capacities in the labor force have been essential and aided the export-oriented growth strategies that each of these nations have pursued. The main theme of this paper was to investigate the role of education as a source of economic growth in Korea. In this study, first, the objective mode was built by extending neoclassical S0low growth theory. Second, the capital deepening typical of an endogenous economic per-capita growth model was developed empirically for seven East-Asian economies as for the medium term, during 1965～1989. And then we found the meaning of coefficients of growth factors, direct relative contribution of each input to per-capita growth in seven East-Asian countries, relative indirect contribution of education to per-capita growth in Korea, accounting for difference due to accumulation in Korea. The indirect relative contributions of secondary and higher education and R & D to per-capita growth change the results somewhat. Secondary education is still the largest single contributor 65 percent of predicted growth is due to secondary school enrollment in Korea. Primary education comes second with 36.2 percent and followed by higher education at 4.7 percent. Physical investment gives 24.9 percent and unimproved raw labor contributes only 6.6 percent. The productivity of education is given prime importance in modern per-capita growth models. These models also accommodate endogenous technological change leading to increasing return to scale. The effects of education on per-capita growth are seen in three ways: (1) through the increased educational attainment as the labor force increases their skills and hence their productivity, (2) through the contribution of investment in higher education to the conduct of R & D, and the training of R & D demand for firms as endogenous technical change, and (3) through the ability to transfer the technology from more advanced countries, as well as to learn and adapt to new technologies on the job